使用神经网络对高维混杂因素的一般处理效应进行因果推断

Causal inference of general treatment effects using neural networks with a diverging number of confounders

Journal of Econometrics · 2023
被引 4
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出用人工神经网络估计高维混杂因素下的多值处理效应(包括分位数处理效应),证明其能缓解维度灾难,并给出估计量的统计性质和推断方法。

Abstract

Semiparametric efficient estimation of various multi-valued causal effects, including quantile treatment effects, is important in economic, biomedical, and other social sciences. Under the unconfoundedness condition, adjustment for confounders requires estimating the nuisance functions relating outcome or treatment to confounders nonparametrically. This paper considers a generalized optimization framework for efficient estimation of general treatment effects using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to approximate the unknown nuisance function of growing-dimensional confounders. We establish a new approximation error bound for the ANNs to the nuisance function belonging to a mixed smoothness class without a known sparsity structure. We show that the ANNs can alleviate the "curse of dimensionality" under this circumstance. We establish the root-n consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed general treatment effects estimators, and apply a weighted bootstrap procedure for conducting inference. The proposed methods are illustrated via simulation studies and a real data application.

神经网络因果推断高维混杂分位数处理效应