选择性披露证据的说服力实验研究

An experimental investigation of persuasion through selective disclosure of evidence

Canadian Journal of Economics · 2023
被引 1
ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验研究说服者如何基于私人信息选择性披露证据来影响决策者,发现人类说服者会操纵证据,但决策者未能充分识别这种操纵,且操纵有时反而对决策者有利。

Abstract

Abstract We experimentally study the interaction between a persuader and a decision‐maker. The former would like to persuade the latter to approve a project by providing evidence on the project's value. He may choose a selective disclosure strategy on the basis of his private information. Our experimental design contrasts situations where the persuader observes private information or not and where the decision‐maker interacts with a human or robot persuader. The experimental results confirm the theoretical prediction that the human persuader manipulates the production of evidence. Although the decision‐maker does not adequately take into account such manipulation, the comparative static analysis across treatments is mostly consistent with theoretical predictions with a rational decision‐maker. Our findings on the welfare effect of the persuader's manipulation on the decision‐maker are consistent with theory. In particular, the decision‐maker may benefit from such manipulation. However, the welfare effect on the persuader is not always consistent with theory, in that there are instances in which the persuader is not hurt by manipulation even though theory predicts that he is.

行为经济学实验经济学信息经济学说服理论