存在偏差时的自助法推断

Bootstrap Inference in the Presence of Bias

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2023
被引 9
ABS 4

中文导读

研究了当估计量存在渐近偏差时,如何通过自助法(如预枢轴化方法)实现有效推断,并给出了五个应用实例(模型平均、岭回归、非参数回归等),对从事计量和统计推断的研究者有参考价值。

Abstract

We consider bootstrap inference for estimators which are (asymptotically) biased. We show that, even when the bias term cannot be consistently estimated, valid inference can be obtained by proper implementations of the bootstrap. Specifically, we show that the prepivoting approach of Beran (1987, 1988), originally proposed to deliver higher-order refinements, restores bootstrap validity by transforming the original bootstrap p-value into an asymptotically uniform random variable. We propose two different implementations of prepivoting (plug-in and double bootstrap), and provide general high-level conditions that imply validity of bootstrap inference. To illustrate the practical relevance and implementation of our results, we discuss five examples: (i) inference on a target parameter based on model averaging; (ii) ridge-type regularized estimators; (iii) nonparametric regression; (iv) a location model for infinite variance data; and (v) dynamic panel data models.

计量经济学统计学推断方法自助法