Assessment of Carbon Dioxide Removal Technologies: A Data-Driven Decision-Making Model
提出一个数据驱动的决策模型，用于评估主流二氧化碳去除技术，发现土壤碳封存和造林效果最佳，为企业和政策制定者提供技术选择建议。
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies, as the essential tools to achieve the carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals, have received increasing attention. However, CDR technologies involve extensive expertise from different fields and lack a systematic introduction and assessment system. Therefore, this article proposes a comprehensive decision-making model to assess mainstream CDR technologies. First, we present the all-around CDR technologies and develop a criteria framework that was derived mainly from a 2021 white paper released by the World Economic Forum. Second, we design a text mining method to obtain the criteria's weights and form a fuzzy decision matrix using interval type-2 fuzzy sets and interval numbers as the quantitative tool for assessment information. Afterward, we propose the extended MULTIMOORA method to assess CDR technologies and obtain the final rankings. Results reveal that soil carbon sequestration and afforestation are the best-performing CDR technologies. Furthermore, the robustness is proved by the sensitivity analysis. Implications, conclusions, and future directions are also illustrated. The contribution of this study is that it proposes a real data-driven decision-making model, thereby offering a certain level of decision supports (suggestions) for enterprises, CDR projects' proponents, and policymakers to select which CDR technologies to prioritize and develop.