Biased beliefs about immigration and economic concerns: Evidence from representative experiments
通过7000多名受访者的代表性调查实验,发现人们对移民规模的信念存在系统性偏差,不同信息对福利担忧和劳动力竞争担忧的影响方向相反,且干预效果取决于先验信念的分布。
We investigate the causal relationship between biased beliefs about immigrants and the host country's attitudes towards immigration. Using representative survey experiments with over 7000 respondents, we find substantial biases in respondents' beliefs about the immigrant population in several domains. Exposure to different types of information about immigrants reduces concerns about negative effects of immigration on the welfare state. On the contrary, different types of information offset their effects on concerns about increased competition in the labor market. Using a data-driven approach to uncover systematic heterogeneity in treatment effects, we find that prior beliefs about immigration and their distribution in the host country's population are crucial for the effectiveness of information interventions. We conclude that different distributions of beliefs therefore require appropriately targeted information policies.