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推特与报纸:情绪对全球股市的影响

Tweets versus broadsheets: Sentiment impact on stock markets around the world

The Journal of Financial Research · 2023
被引 2
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究对比了社交媒体和新闻媒体情绪对14个国际市场的影响,发现非交易时段的高情绪显著影响次日开盘收益,且美国市场对社交媒体反应强烈,其他市场则更受新闻影响。

Abstract

Abstract We contrast sentiment derived from social and news media to investigate its impact across 14 international markets. We find that heightened media sentiment during nontrading periods significantly affects the next day's opening returns even after accounting for the previous‐day activity. Markedly, only the US market exhibits strong reactions to social media, whereas other markets are more responsive to the news. We find that most variability in overnight returns is explained by sentiment aggregated 3 h before markets open. Our findings suggest that the overnight sentiment does not simply subsume previous‐day market activity but contains additional information that helps improve predictability in return forecasting models.

金融市场社交媒体新闻媒体投资者情绪股票收益预测