Assessing the Stabilizing Effects of Unemployment Benefit Extensions
构建了一个包含异质性主体、搜索摩擦和名义刚性的定量模型,分析失业救济金延长对经济的稳定作用,发现总需求渠道在美国占主导,在两次衰退中有效降低了失业率。
We study the stabilizing role of benefit extensions. We develop a tractable quantitative model with heterogeneous agents, search frictions, and nominal rigidities. The model allows for a stabilizing aggregate demand channel and a destabilizing labor market channel. We characterize each channel analytically and find that aggregate demand effects quantitatively prevail in the United States. When feeding in estimated shocks, the model tracks unemployment in the two most recent downturns. We find that extensions lowered unemployment by a maximum of 0.36 pp in the Great Recession, while the joint stabilizing effect of extensions and benefit compensation peaked at 1.12 pp in the pandemic.