Predicting failure times of coherent systems
研究了如何利用组件早期失效时间预测相干系统的失效时间，考虑了独立和依赖组件情况，使用分位数回归技术提供预测区间，对非可修系统维护决策有参考价值。
Abstract The article is focused on studying how to predict the failure times of coherent systems from the early failure times of their components. Both the cases of independent and dependent components are considered by assuming that they are identically distributed (homogeneous components). The heterogeneous components' case can be addressed similarly but more complexly. The present study is for non‐repairable systems, but the information obtained could be used to decide if a maintenance action should be carried out at time . Different cases are considered regarding the information available at time . We use quantile regression techniques to predict the system failure times and to provide prediction intervals. The theoretical results are applied to specific system structures in some illustrative examples.