信息宣传与公众对结构性改革的看法:来自尼日利亚汽油补贴改革调查实验的证据

Information campaigns and public perceptions of structural reforms: Evidence from a survey experiment on gasoline subsidy reform in Nigeria

Journal of Policy Analysis and Management · 2024
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

通过在尼日利亚全国代表性调查中嵌入随机实验,研究发现仅提供事实信息不会改变民众对化石燃料补贴改革的支持度,但能帮助支持者表达偏好并削弱反对者用错误信息辩护的倾向。

Abstract

Abstract Governments often reform financial policies, such as industrial subsidies taxes and currency exchange rates, during times of fiscal distress. Existing studies suggest that information campaigns can improve popular support for policy reforms that promise longer term macroeconomic growth but come with short‐term financial costs to people's livelihoods. This article assesses the effects of information campaigns on the acceptance of fossil fuel subsidy reforms in Nigeria, a type of fiscal reform that many developing countries may adopt in the coming years. A randomized survey experiment imbedded in a nationally representative survey of Nigerian households investigates whether information interventions lead Nigerians to change their opinion on fossil fuel subsidy reforms. We find that merely providing factual information does not affect whether or not people support fossil fuel subsidy reforms. Moreover, we find that factual information helps supporters articulate their preferences and weakens the propensity of opponents to use wrongful information to justify their position.

公共经济学发展经济学政治经济学行为经济学能源政策