钻井截止日期与油气开发

Drilling Deadlines and Oil and Gas Development

Econometrica · 2024
被引 7
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了油气租赁合同中钻井截止日期(主期限)如何影响钻井时机和总剩余,发现主期限能抵消权利金对钻井的延迟效应,但效果受生产对投入敏感性和钻井延期规则制约。

Abstract

Oil and gas leases between mineral owners and extraction firms typically specify a date by which the firm must either drill a well or lose the lease. These deadlines are known as primary terms. Using data from the Louisiana shale boom, we first show that well drilling is substantially bunched just before the primary term deadline. This bunching is not necessarily surplus‐reducing: using an estimated model of firms' drilling and input choices, we show that primary terms can increase total surplus by countering the effects of leases' royalties, as royalties are a tax on revenue and delay drilling. These benefits are reduced, however, when production outcomes are sensitive to drilling inputs and when drilling one well indefinitely extends the period of time during which additional wells may be drilled. We enrich the model to consider mineral owners' lease offers and find small effects of primary terms on owners' revenue.

钻井截止日期油气开发主要条款钻井聚集