城市形态对出行距离、汽车保有量和出行方式选择影响的比较研究

Comparing urban form influences on travel distance, car ownership, and mode choice

Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · 2024
被引 90 · 同刊同年前 1%
ABS 3

中文导读

研究比较了19个欧洲城市中城市形态对出行距离、汽车保有量和出行方式选择的影响,发现居住地到市中心距离是最重要的预测因素,并识别了可持续出行的城市形态阈值。

Abstract

Steady growth in global greenhouse gas emissions from transport is driven by growing demand for car travel. A sizable body of research investigates influences of urban form on travel behavior, but few European studies illustrate variation of these influences across multiple cities and countries using disaggregated data. Here, we compare car ownership and mobility patterns, and we use gradient boosting decision tree and regression models to investigate urban form influences on travel distances, vehicle ownership, and mode choice across nineteen diverse European cities. Residential proximity to the city center is the urban form feature with greatest predictive importance for trip distances, car ownership and car mode choice. The exponential reduction of car use with higher population density is clearly demonstrated with aggregate city data. We detect nonlinear relationships between urban form and modelled outcomes, identify urban form thresholds for sustainable mobility, and suggest targeted policy interventions.

城市形态出行行为可持续交通计量经济学交通工程