逆产品差异化Logit模型:圣杯还是不是?

Inverse product differentiation logit model: Holy grail or not?

Energy Economics · 2024
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

首次将逆产品差异化Logit模型应用于中国乘用车需求分析,发现该模型比传统随机系数Logit快约300倍,能捕捉互补模式,拟合优度更优。

Abstract

Random coefficient logit (RCL) is the workhorse model to estimate demand elasticities in markets with differentiated products using aggregated sales data. While the ability to represent flexible substitution patterns makes RCL preferable, its estimation is computationally challenging due to the numerical inversion of the demand function. The recently proposed inverse product differentiation logit (IPDL) addresses this computational issue by directly specifying the inverse demand function. In addition to computational gains, IPDL claims to maintain flexibility through non-hierarchical product segmentation across multiple characteristics. Thus, IPDL is an attractive alternative to RCL in theory, but its potential remains unexplored in empirical studies. We present the first application of IPDL in understanding the demand for passenger cars in China using province-level sales data. Our results show that IPDL is around 300 times faster than RCL, can capture complementarity patterns that cannot be captured by RCL, can identify substitution patterns as well as RCL, and outperforms RCL in goodness of fit measures.

逆产品差异logit模型随机系数logit模型需求弹性估计中国乘用车市场