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基于得分驱动方法的稳健贝弗里奇-纳尔逊分解及其应用

A robust Beveridge–Nelson decomposition using a score-driven approach with an application

Economics Letters · 2024
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

证明在得分驱动位置模型下贝弗里奇-纳尔逊分解与趋势-周期分解等价,并扩展至重尾分布以得到稳健版本。

Abstract

The equivalence of the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition and the trend-cycle decomposition is well established. In this paper we argue that this equivalence is almost immediate when a Gaussian score-driven location model is considered. We also provide a natural extension towards heavy-tailed distributions for the disturbances which lead to a robust version of the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition.

时间序列分解稳健统计计量经济学贝弗里奇-纳尔逊分解