降低风险:车辆功率限制与青少年驾驶事故——意大利的经验

Depowering Risk: Vehicle Power Restrictions and Teens’ Driving Accidents in Italy

Journal of Law & Economics · 2023
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了意大利2011年对新手司机实施发动机功率限制政策的效果,发现限制使用高功率汽车使青少年事故率降低13%,致命事故率降低28%,且效果持续。

Abstract

This paper investigates the road safety impact of a restriction in engine power on novice drivers. The restriction, introduced in Italy in 2011, prevents drivers from using high-performance vehicles during the first year they have their license. To estimate the effect on teens’ traffic accidents, we leverage the between-cohorts difference in exposure to the reform. When prevented from using high-powered cars, teens are 13 percent less likely to cause an accident and 28 percent less likely to cause a fatal accident, mainly because of fewer speeding violations. This effect persists even after the 1-year restriction ends. These findings highlight the importance of targeted policies—directed at those generating the greatest harm—that limit exposure to specific high-risk settings. These policies stand out as an effective yet feasible alternative to deterrence-based strategies and screening mechanisms, which are often difficult to enforce and sustain.

新手驾驶员发动机功率限制交通事故青少年意大利