Opening up in the 21st century: A quantitative accounting of Chinese export growth
利用一般均衡模型和详细的贸易生产数据，量化了外国需求、进口中间品获取改善和国内要素生产率增长对中国出口增长及2007年后放缓的驱动作用。
China's rapid export growth has spurred extensive research investigating its effects on other economies. The exact causes of the boom as well as the slowdown in Chinese exporting after 2007 are less well-understood. We quantify the drivers of Chinese export growth using a general equilibrium model estimated with detailed trade and production data that capture rich heterogeneity across destinations, firm ownership types, production locations, and sectors. We find that the three key drivers of Chinese export growth overall are rising foreign demand, improvements in access to imported intermediates, and factor productivity growth within China. Weakening foreign demand and a lack of further improvements in imported inputs access largely explain the slowdown in exporting after 2007. Furthermore, important differences especially across sectors and firms of different ownership types caution against any single narrative.