机器人对国内迁移的影响:来自中国的证据

The effects of robots on internal migration: Evidence from China

Journal of Regional Science · 2024
被引 9
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究工业机器人对中国城市间人口净流入的负面影响,发现低技能、年轻、低学历和制造业的迁移者更易受冲击,且迁移成本加剧了这种影响。

Abstract

Abstract China has experienced a boom of industrial robots in the past decade. Under the shock of robotization on labor market, migration is a critical way to rebalance the economy. While many studies have investigated the influence of robotization on labor market in the automation‐advanced countries, few works shed light on the situation in the emerging market. We provide empirical evidence on the effect of industrial robots on intercity migration in China. We find that, industrial robot adoption has a significant negative effect on the net inflow migration by reducing population inflows, while has little effect on population outflows. The decline in population inflows is concentrated among low‐skilled migrants who are younger, less educated and in manufacturing sectors, because they are more likely to experience unemployment and wage declines in the face of industrial robots. The analysis of migration cost demonstrates that the negative impact of industrial robots on population inflows increases with the longer migration distances, higher living costs, and greater institutional entry barriers caused by Hukou Registration System in China.

工业机器人人口迁移技能异质性户籍制度