一般异质性下相关性的稳健推断

Robust inference on correlation under general heterogeneity

Journal of Econometrics · 2024
被引 3
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

改进了Dalla等人(2022)提出的序列相关和交叉相关稳健检验方法,去除了对异方差过程的平滑限制,使其适用于更广泛的非平稳和异方差数据,并通过蒙特卡洛实验和实证例子验证了其优越性。

Abstract

Considerable evidence in past research shows size distortion in standard tests for zero autocorrelation or zero cross-correlation when time series are not independent identically distributed random variables, pointing to the need for more robust procedures. Recent tests for serial correlation and cross-correlation in Dalla, Giraitis, and Phillips (2022) provide a more robust approach, allowing for heteroskedasticity and dependence in uncorrelated data under restrictions that require a smooth, slowly-evolving deterministic heteroskedasticity process. The present work removes those restrictions and validates the robust testing methodology for a wider class of innovations and regression residuals allowing for heteroscedastic uncorrelated and non-stationary data settings. The updated analysis given here enables more extensive use of the methodology in practical applications. Monte Carlo experiments confirm excellent finite sample performance of the robust test procedures even for extremely complex white noise processes. The empirical examples show that use of robust testing methods can materially reduce spurious evidence of correlations found by standard testing procedures.

稳健推断异方差自相关检验交叉相关检验