Performance prediction and performance-based task allocation
通过两个实验研究人们如何预测自己和他人的绩效，以及这些预测如何影响基于绩效的任务分配决策。发现人们低估自身绩效但高估任务承担意愿，而观察者基于观察能准确估计但仅凭自我评估时过于谨慎。
Self-perception and perception by others can diverge. Such differences can play an important role in corporate governance settings, for example in the context of task allocation. We run two experiments to study how predictions about own performance and the performance of others develop over time and how they influence allocation in performance-based decisions. Our findings indicate that people underestimate their own performance, but are too keen to take up performance-dependent tasks. Observers form accurate performance estimates about the performer based on observation. However, when making allocation decisions on the basis of the performer's self-assessment only, they are too hesitant to trust in the performer's success.