死亡率的驱动因素:风险因素与不平等

Drivers of mortality: risk factors and inequality

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society · 2024
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

本文研究了英格兰死亡率的社会经济差异,发现传统贫困指数在区域和社区层面表现不佳,并开发了新的社区死亡率指数,识别出老年收入贫困和就业贫困是关键因素,同时城乡类别和养老院分布也重要。

Abstract

Abstract This paper takes a detailed look at socio-economic variation in mortality across England. Generic metrics such as the index of multiple deprivation (IMD) can be effective at the aggregate level of national deciles, but we demonstrate that they perform much less well at the regional, urban–rural, and neighbourhood level. We use local linear regression to develop a new, customized index for neighbourhood mortality that addresses the mortality-specific shortcomings of the IMD based on socio-economic and related, non-spatial predictive variables. We find that old-age income deprivation and employment deprivation are key determinants of mortality, but also that urban–rural class and the presence of care homes in a neighbourhood have an important role to play in assessing underlying mortality rates relative to national mortality. Residual spatial/regional variation in mortality is found to be much less significant than socio-economic variation and much lower than the residual regional variation that results from the use of the IMD.

死亡率社会经济不平等区域差异人口统计学公共健康