调解、军事与金钱:外部干预结束武装冲突的承诺与陷阱

Mediation, Military, and Money: The Promises and Pitfalls of Outside Interventions to End Armed Conflicts

Journal of Economic Literature · 2024
被引 31
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

批判性评述了外国促进和平的政策选项,包括非军事调解、军事维和和经济政策,指出调解的因果效应难确立、军事维和需协调、经济投入有助于持久和平。

Abstract

Wars impose tremendous costs on societies and the question of how to end them is of foremost importance. Several hundred books and scientific articles have been written on peace agreements and third-party interventions. In this article I provide a critical literature survey on what policies foreign countries have at their disposal if they wish to foster peace abroad. Ranging from pure (nonmilitarized) mediation, over a range of military options to economic policies, the promises and pitfalls of these types of interventions are critically assessed in the light of cutting-edge theoretical and empirical literature. A series of take-home messages emerge: (i) establishing a causal effect of mediation has proven difficult; (ii) military peacekeeping operations can play a key role, to the extent that security guarantees, the sharing of political and military power, and trust-building measures are well coordinated; and (iii) money matters—fostering human capital and economic opportunities contributes to fertile ground for lasting peace.

调解军事干预经济干预武装冲突终止