数字迷信与市场整体羊群效应:来自中国的证据

Numerological superstitions and market-wide herding: Evidence from China

International Review of Financial Analysis · 2024
被引 7
ABS 3

中文导读

研究2000-2020年上海和深圳股市中,基于股票代码中吉利/不吉利数字分类的股票,其羊群效应是否更显著,发现数字迷信并未显著加剧羊群行为。

Abstract

We empirically investigate the effect of traditional Chinese numerological superstitions over market-wide herding in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges for the 2000–2020 period, based on a classification of stocks as lucky/unlucky contingent on the presence of digits deemed numerologically lucky/unlucky in their tickers. We find no compelling evidence that herding is more pronounced in those superstitious stocks, as compared to the rest of the stock market. Both superstitious stock-types herd exclusively on high-volatility days and exhibit some pronounced patterns in up vs down markets; these effects are not significantly different from the behaviour of non-superstitious stocks, however. Similarly, herding in both superstitious stock-types is largely noise-driven, but the same effect is observed for non-superstitious stocks. The similarities in herding between superstitious and non-superstitious stocks suggest that numerological superstitions do not motivate significantly stronger herding in Chinese markets.

行为金融学中国股票市场羊群效应文化金融