Labor Migration, Capital Accumulation, and the Structure of Rural Labor Markets
利用1974年马拉维移民工人空难这一自然实验，研究发现此前因双边条约涌入的移民资本在回流后，促使农村劳动力尤其是女性从农业转向非农工作，且这种转变持续了三十年。
Abstract Between 1967 and 1974, a bilateral treaty increased circular labor migration from Malawi to South Africa by 200%, bringing over 53 million USD in earnings into origin communities. A deadly migrant worker plane crash in 1974 ended these flows and led to migrant repatriation. We study how this shock affected local labor markets. In regions receiving more migrant capital after the crash, workers, particularly women, shifted from farming into non-farm work over thirty years. Investments in non-farm physical and human capital contribute to these sectoral changes. This natural experiment shows that temporary capital inflows can permanently reshape rural labor markets.