基于残差的非参数方差比非协整检验

A residual‐based nonparametric variance ratio no‐cointegration test

Journal of Time Series Analysis · 2024
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

本文发现Breitung的非参数方差比单位根检验应用于回归残差时,虽然局部渐近功效较差,但在有限样本中具有良好的尺寸性质、竞争性功效且无需调整参数,并指出误差过程的短期动态对检验性能的影响比局部渐近功效中的唯一干扰参数更大。

Abstract

It is prominently stated in the literature that local asymptotic power properties serve as a useful indicator for the performance of residual‐based no‐cointegration tests in finite samples. However, this article comes to an opposing conclusion. In particular, we show that Breitung's (2002, Journal of Econometrics 108, 343–363) nonparameteric variance ratio unit root test applied to regression residuals serves as a no‐cointegration test but is inferior to its competitors from a local asymptotic power perspective. Nevertheless, in finite samples, the variance ratio test has good size properties, competitive power, and the convenience of being tuning parameter free. In general, we find that short‐run dynamics in the error process can have considerably larger detrimental effects on the performance of residual‐based no‐cointegration tests in finite samples than changes in the only nuisance parameter affecting local asymptotic power of the tests. The results serve as a warning for practitioners and lead to interesting directions for future research.

计量经济学时间序列分析非参数统计协整检验