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自动化与税收

Automation and taxation

Oxford Economic Papers · 2024
被引 32 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了1995-2016年19个欧盟国家中自动化对税收收入的影响,发现机器人扩散在2008年前降低了总税收和资本税,但2007年后负面影响减弱;信息技术对税收有微弱但持续的负面影响。

Abstract

Abstract Do automation-induced changes in labour and capital income undermine public revenues? Decomposing taxes by source (labour, capital, sales), we analyse the impact of automation on tax revenues and the structure of taxation in nineteen EU countries during 1995–2016. Before 2008 robot diffusion was associated with a decline in total tax revenues and taxes from capital, along with decreasing labour and capital income and output. After 2007, the negative effects diminish. Information and Communication Technologies show a weak negative but persistent effect on total tax revenues and taxes on goods for the full period, and an increase in capital income. Overall, the impact of automation on production and taxation varies over time. Whether automation erodes taxation depends on the technology and stage of diffusion. Concerns about public budgets appear myopic when focusing on the short run and ignoring relevant technological trends.

公共经济学劳动经济学税收自动化欧盟经济