Inflation, Monetary Policy, and Portfolio Decisions of U.S. Households
研究了货币政策变化如何影响美国家庭的投资组合,发现利率上升反而增加股票持有和风险资产配置,通胀对冲是可能原因。
We study the impact of monetary policy changes on portfolio decisions of U.S. households. Contrary to the predictions of canonical portfolio choice models, interest rate increases are related to increased equity ownership and larger wealth allocations to risky assets. Inflation hedging is a likely explanation for these findings. Interest rates have a stronger impact on the equity exposure of households that experience higher inflation, especially those with greater inflation awareness and potentially stronger hedging motives. Using household portfolios at a large discount brokerage house, we provide direct evidence that investors with greater inflation sensitivity overweight stocks with high hedging potential. This paper was accepted by Camelia Kuhnen, finance. Supplemental Material: The data files are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.02197 .