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不确定性下合作投资的动态稳定性

Dynamic Stability of Cooperative Investment Under Uncertainty

Operations Research · 2025
被引 2
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

结合合作博弈论和实物期权理论,研究多利益相关者投资项目的动态稳定性,发现按比例投资方案能最大化项目价值并最早启动投资,但其稳定性受市场增长和不确定性影响。

Abstract

Modeling Cooperative and Noncooperative Incentives in Investment Projects: A Novel Approach Using Cooperative Game Theory and Real Options Theory In “Dynamic Stability of Cooperative Investment under Uncertainty,” Ketelaars, Borm, and Kort study an investment project involving multiple stakeholders. The research was prompted by the fact that many infrastructure projects, such as Feyenoord City in Rotterdam, Netherlands, and the new Berlin airport, failed or were significantly delayed. Recognizing that the various stakeholders have outside options, the authors combine concepts from cooperative game theory and real options to analyze a coalitional and dynamic stability concept. They characterize the proportional investment scheme as the scheme that maximizes total project value and results in the earliest investment timing. They show that dynamic stability can be present when the market is stable and when the market is growing and volatile. However, the proportional investment scheme is more sensitive to dynamic instability in a market with high profit growth and low profit uncertainty, or vice versa.

合作博弈论实物期权投资决策基础设施项目