临时贸易冲击与区域发展:来自阿比让港关闭的证据

Temporary trade shocks and regional development: evidence from the closure of Abidjan port

Journal of Economic Geography · 2024
被引 2
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

利用科特迪瓦内战导致邻国无法使用阿比让港这一自然实验,研究发现临时贸易限制对经济活动产生负面影响,并引发反向结构变化,且影响具有持续性。

Abstract

Abstract Can temporary trade restrictions reshape regional development? To analyze this, we exploit the Cote d’Ivoire civil war that disrupted access to Abidjan port for neighboring land-locked countries: Mali and Burkina Faso. Estimates from a difference-in-difference design suggest negative effects on economic activity and a reverse structural change in the treatment communes. We find evidence of persistence through irreversible investment in built-up areas and divergence in the growth of nightlights. Treatment communes at the intermediate distance from the nearest city experienced stronger adverse impacts, driven partly by a relocation to the communes close to other ports.

临时贸易冲击区域发展阿比让港关闭科特迪瓦内战