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移民与繁荣城镇:来自美国页岩气繁荣的证据

Migrants and boomtowns: evidence from the US shale boom

Regional Studies · 2024
被引 3
人大 BABS 4

中文导读

研究油气开发如何吸引工人迁入繁荣城镇,发现冲击平均三年后显著影响移民,且对中高人力资本工人影响更大,这对农村繁荣城镇的长期增长和经济韧性有政策启示。

Abstract

This paper analyses if and how oil and gas developments foster in-migration of workers into boomtowns. In particular, we focus on the workers’ human capital, as a way to help local growth. Using a zero-inflated negative binomial model, we find that oil and gas shocks, on average, take three years to significantly impact migration flows into boomtowns. The migration response is heterogeneous with a disproportionately higher positive effect for medium-high human capital workers. The types of human capital gained by rural and sparsely populated boomtowns can have important policy implications for their long-run growth and economic resilience.

劳动经济学人口经济学经济地理能源经济学人力资本