计算随机博弈中的完美平稳均衡

Computing perfect stationary equilibria in stochastic games

Economic Theory · 2024
被引 4
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

将完美均衡概念扩展到随机博弈,提出完美平稳均衡,并开发可微同伦方法计算该均衡,数值实验验证了方法在动态寡头模型和动态立法投票中的有效性。

Abstract

Abstract The notion of stationary equilibrium is one of the most crucial solution concepts in stochastic games. However, a stochastic game can have multiple stationary equilibria, some of which may be unstable or counterintuitive. As a refinement of stationary equilibrium, we extend the concept of perfect equilibrium in strategic games to stochastic games and formulate the notion of perfect stationary equilibrium (PeSE). To further promote its applications, we develop a differentiable homotopy method to compute such an equilibrium. We incorporate vanishing logarithmic barrier terms into the payoff functions, thereby constituting a logarithmic-barrier stochastic game. As a result of this barrier game, we attain a continuously differentiable homotopy system. To reduce the number of variables in the homotopy system, we eliminate the Bellman equations through a replacement of variables and derive an equivalent system. We use the equivalent system to establish the existence of a smooth path, which starts from an arbitrary total mixed strategy profile and ends at a PeSE. Extensive numerical experiments, including relevant applications like dynamic oligopoly models and dynamic legislative voting, further affirm the effectiveness and efficiency of the method.

完美均衡随机博弈同伦方法平稳均衡