绿色转型与宏观经济稳定

Green transition and macroeconomic stabilization

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · 2024
被引 7
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了向气候中性经济转型过程中,商品市场、劳动力市场、金融部门和货币政策之间的宏观反馈机制,发现对生产征收碳税在低税率和低增长率下不会显著破坏经济稳定。

Abstract

This paper looks into the crucial macroeconomic feedback mechanisms emerging from the interplay among the goods market, the labor market, the financial sector, and monetary policy, particularly in the context of transitioning towards a climate-neutral economy. The investment decisions of firms, pivotal in this interaction, can trigger feedback loops with potentially destabilizing effects, underscoring the critical role of investment within the complex interplay of market and sector dynamics in the macroeconomy. Governmental intervention is highlighted as a key factor in steering the green transition while preserving economic stability. A carbon tax on fossil fuel consumption is proposed as a primary tool for facilitating this green transition. Our investigation employs a disequilibrium model of monetary growth, a la Keynes-Metzler-Goodwin (KMG), incorporating a portfolio perspective across three asset markets - money, bonds, and stocks. This framework allows for an in-depth analysis of how a carbon tax influences real production, inflation, and inequality during the transition. Our findings indicate that imposing a carbon tax on production does not markedly disrupt economic stability, as long as the carbon pricing and its growth rate remain within low bounds.

宏观经济学环境经济学货币政策金融经济学气候变化