空间人口分布对经济增长的影响:来自美国的证据

The impact of the spatial population distribution on economic growth: Evidence from the United States

Journal of Regional Science · 2024
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

提出空间人口集中度(SPC)新指标,量化美国县级人口在给定半径内的平均密度,发现25公里半径与经济增长关联最强,且该影响随时间减弱。

Abstract

Abstract We introduce a new class of measures called spatial population concentration (SPC) designed to quantify how many people live on average within a given radius of every person within a geographic area. The distinguishing feature relative to existing measures is that ours are the first to satisfy scale invariance, replication invariance, sensitivity to transfers, aggregativity, sensitivity to neighborhoods, invariance to uninhabited regions, concurrently. We calculate the SPC measure at the US county level for various radii and identify that the strongest relationship with subsequent economic growth can be found for a 25‐km radius. Interacting SPC with diverse infrastructure metrics does not alter the optimal radius. This indicates that regional policies such as infrastructure projects which influence density should strategically target the 25‐km distance range to maximize the growth impact. We also show that the importance of SPC has declined over time.

空间人口集中度经济增长最优半径美国县级数据