总资本流动模型:风险分担与金融摩擦

A MODEL OF GROSS CAPITAL FLOWS: RISK SHARING AND FINANCIAL FRICTIONS

International Economic Review · 2024
被引 2
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

构建了一个两国模型,研究在随机抵押约束下,代理人通过两种债券分担可贸易产出风险,发现金融摩擦解释了2008年美国总资本流动崩溃的一半原因。

Abstract

Abstract This article builds a two‐country model of gross capital flows where agents share tradable output risk using two bonds, subject to stochastic collateral constraints. Equilibrium portfolios are short in domestic bonds and long in foreign bonds because the endogenous movements of the real exchange rate provide a hedge against domestic output shocks. Under negative domestic shocks, these external positions transfer wealth from home to abroad. During the Great Recession, the model shows that such wealth transfer from the United States mitigated the consumption drop abroad. Quantitatively, financial frictions account for about half of the collapse in U.S. gross flows in 2008.

总资本流动风险分担金融摩擦抵押约束