Correspondent Banking, Systemic Risk, and the Panic of 1893
研究了美国国家银行时期代理银行网络如何加剧银行倒闭和金融恐慌,利用1893年恐慌前的银行关系数据,发现上下游代理银行的倒闭会增加银行自身倒闭概率,且影响随恐慌演变而变化。
Abstract During the U.S. National Banking Period (1863–1913), a network of correspondent bank relationships created vulnerabilities to bank failures and financial panics. Using data on correspondent relationships for all national, state, savings, and private banks just before the Panic of 1893, along with the precise dates of bank suspensions, we show that prior suspensions of both upstream and downstream correspondents increased the likelihood that a given bank would itself suspend, and that these effects varied over the Panic. Conditional on suspension, banks with prior correspondent suspensions were also more likely to reopen. New York Clearinghouse banks, despite low incidences of actual failure, saw significant balance sheet weakening early in the Panic when downstream respondents suspended, and falling stock prices throughout.