利用地理编码数据估计非洲民族不平等、冲突与选民投票率之间的关系

Estimating the relationship between ethnic inequality, conflict and voter turnout in Africa using geocoded data

World Development · 2024
被引 9
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

结合民族语言地图和夜间灯光卫星数据,构建24个非洲国家的地方民族不平等数据集,发现民族不平等与选民投票率负相关,且通过加剧冲突间接降低投票率。

Abstract

To what extent is voter turnout influenced by ethnic inequality? We combine ethnolinguistic maps on sub-national locations of ethnic groups with night-time light satellite images to construct a dataset of ethnic inequality across sub-national locations in 24 African countries. Using election data from the constituency-level elections archive, we show that ethnic inequality is negatively associated with voter turnout. This relationship holds even after we control for endogeneity and geographic characteristics. We also construct a dataset of election conflict across the sub-national areas. We find that an increase in ethnic inequality is associated with an increase in conflict, which reduces voter turnout.

族群不平等选民投票率选举冲突非洲