理解温度与犯罪之间的联系

Understanding the Link between Temperature and Crime

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2024
被引 18 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用墨西哥数百万行政记录、未报告犯罪调查和每日天气数据,研究发现温度升高确实增加犯罪,其中28%由周末饮酒和闲暇时间变化解释,并揭示了犯罪时间和地点的变化。

Abstract

The correlation between hot weather and crime is well documented but not fully understood. We combine millions of administrative records, victimization surveys on unreported crime, and daily weather information to analyze the effect of temperatures on crime in Mexico. We find that sample selection cannot explain the observed positive correlation between temperature and crime. Moreover, we find that shifts in alcohol consumption and time use on weekends are responsible for 28 percent of temperature-induced crimes. We also observe changes in the hour and location of crimes, providing new evidence on the importance of time use as a determinant of crime.

温度与犯罪酒精消费时间分配墨西哥