Refugee Benefit Cuts
研究丹麦2002年针对难民的Start Aid福利改革,发现福利大幅削减短期内提高了就业率,但长期无效,反而加剧贫困和生存型犯罪,且地方需求条件影响改革效果。
This paper analyzes the effects of Denmark’s Start Aid welfare reform that targets refugees. Implemented in 2002, it enables us to study not only the reform’s immediate effects but also its longer-term consequences and its repeal a decade later. The reform-induced large transfer cuts led to an increase in employment rates, but only in the short run. Overall, the reform increased poverty rates and led to a rise in subsistence crime. Moreover, local demand conditions generate substantial heterogeneity in the reform’s effects on immediate and longer-term employment.