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脱欧狂想曲:谈判中议题显著性的模式探索

Brexit Rhapsody: Exploring Patterns of Issue Salience in the Negotiations

Journal of Common Market Studies · 2024
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

用欧盟决策方法分析脱欧谈判中20个关键议题的显著性,发现欧盟27国、欧盟委员会和英国形成8个受政治经济地理影响的行动者集群,显著差异促成互投赞成票,支持统一立场和协议达成。

Abstract

Abstract This study revisits the salience of the Brexit negotiations using an advanced Decision‐Making in the European Union (EU) methodology to assess the relative importance of 20 key issues amongst the EU27 member states, the European Commission and the UK. Unlike earlier studies that suggest more uniform salience levels, except for the UK, our analysis identifies eight clusters of actors influenced by their political, economic and geographical contexts. These differences in salience levels have been conducive to logrolling, which likely supported a unified EU stance and a successful agreement with the UK. Additionally, our research quantitatively confirms the UK's distinct salience position, highlighting its isolation and reducing its ability to use divisive negotiation tactics. These findings offer insights into both the dynamics of past Brexit negotiations and ongoing EU–UK policy developments. They contribute to the analysis of Brexit and international negotiations in general by systematically exploring salience in high‐level diplomatic negotiations.

政治学国际关系欧盟研究谈判分析