最优样本量与统计决策规则

Optimal sample sizes and statistical decision rules

Theoretical Economics · 2024
被引 3
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了在说服环境中,设计者如何选择样本量,使得决策者基于估计值采取特定行动,并发现决策规则多为简单多数或反向一致决。

Abstract

A statistical decision rule is a mapping from data to actions induced by statistical inference on the data. We characterize these rules for data that are chosen strategically in persuasion environments. A designer wishes to persuade a decision maker (DM) to take a particular action and decides how many Bernoulli experiments about a parameter of interest the DM can obtain. After obtaining these data and estimating the parameter value, the DM chooses to take the action if the estimated value exceeds some threshold. We establish that as the threshold changes, the resulting statistical decision rules in many environments are either simple majority or reverse unanimity.

简单多数反向一致统计决策规则最优样本量