On the Welfare Costs of Perceptions Biases
利用法国调查数据，研究两种通胀感知偏差（频率偏差和水平偏差）对家庭福利的影响，发现只有水平偏差显著降低福利和资产积累，纠正偏差可减少福利损失。
Abstract Are households harmed by inaccurate inflation beliefs? This paper analyzes two established inflation perceptions biases and evaluates their welfare effects. Using French survey data I study the frequency bias, where households overweight goods that they purchase frequently, and the level bias, where households consistently overestimate current inflation. To evaluate the associated welfare losses, I incorporate biased inflation perceptions into a model with a nominal bond subject to inflation risk. Only the level bias significantly reduces welfare and asset accumulation. Removing the perception bias reduces the welfare loss, suggesting that inaccurate perceptions can harm households beyond affecting expectations.