利率规则中的外汇市场压力

Exchange market pressure in interest rate rules

Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money · 2024
被引 5
ABS 3

中文导读

本文推导出中央银行在设定利率时应关注外汇市场压力(EMP),并将其纳入泰勒规则,该规则可适用于浮动、中间和固定汇率等多种制度,并在小型开放经济的新凯恩斯模型中进行了说明。

Abstract

Many central banks pursue some kind of exchange rate objective. We derive what variables the central bank should look at when setting the interest rate to implement a given objective. Exchange market pressure (EMP), the tendency of the exchange rate to change, emerges as the key variable. This yields a policy rule for the interest rate where EMP is added to, say, a Taylor rule. The coefficient for EMP depends on two structural parameters, namely the effectiveness of the interest rate to ward off depreciation, and the degree of exchange rate management. The rule can implement many regimes, from floating to intermediate to fixed rates. It can be applied to many models, and we illustrate it in a New Keynesian model for a small open economy.

货币政策汇率制度中央银行新凯恩斯模型