银行货币对股市一体化的影响:来自欧元区的证据

The impact of bank money on stock market integration: evidence from the Eurozone

European Journal of Finance · 2024
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

研究了货币政策对欧元区五大经济体股市一体化的影响,发现杠杆上升和宽松货币政策会提高股市同时崩盘的概率,贷款与基础货币比率差异扩大则加剧市场不稳定,对国际投资者和风险管理有参考价值。

Abstract

This paper explores the impact of monetary policy on the integration of the equity markets of the five largest economies of the Eurozone. We show that a rise in leverage and accommodating monetary policies significantly affects the probability of simultaneous stock market crashes. Moreover, we find that an increasing loan-to-base ratio divergence has a destabilizing effect on equity markets. Our findings are instrumental for international investors, who might operate under the assumption that Eurozone stock markets exhibit stable correlations during non-crisis periods, bolstered by the prevailing monetary regime. We suggest implementing a probability threshold as a macroprudential tool to manage latent correlations and ensure effective risk management.

货币经济学金融市场股票市场金融一体化宏观审慎政策