劳动力供给与自动化创新:来自一项分配政策的证据

Labor supply and automation innovation: Evidence from an allocation policy

Journal of Public Economics · 2024
被引 15
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用德国1990-2000年代的移民分配政策,研究发现低技能劳动力增加会减少自动化专利创新,尤其影响制造业大企业的流程自动化创新,表明劳动力稀缺是驱动自动化创新的因素。

Abstract

Despite a longstanding interest in the potential substitution of labor and capital, limited empirical evidence exists regarding the causal relationship between labor supply and the development of labor-saving technologies. This study examines the impact of exogenous changes in regional labor supply on automation innovation by leveraging a German immigrant allocation policy during the 1990s and 2000s. The findings reveal that an increase in the low-skilled workforce reduces automation innovation, as measured by patents. This reduction is most pronounced for large firms within the manufacturing sector and primarily concerns process-related automation innovations. This suggests that the effect is channeled through changes in internal demand for automation innovation. Consistent with a labor scarcity mechanism, the effect is confined to tight labor markets.

劳动力供给自动化创新移民分配政策低技能劳动力