货币政策是否存在信息渠道?

Is There an Information Channel of Monetary Policy?

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics · 2024
被引 0
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用FOMC公告前后利率和汇率波动的异方差性,识别出三种结构性货币政策冲击,其中第三种冲击兼具央行信息冲击的特征,影响利率、股价、产出和通胀。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Exploiting the heteroskedasticity of the changes in short‐term and long‐term interest rates and exchange rates around the FOMC announcement, we identify three structural monetary policy shocks. We eliminate the predictable part of the shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables. The first shock resembles a conventional monetary policy shock, and the second resembles an unconventional monetary shock. The third shock leads to an increase in interest rates, stock prices, industrial production, consumer prices, and commodity prices. At the same time, the excess bond premium and uncertainty decrease, and the U.S. dollar depreciates. Therefore, this third shock combines all the characteristics of a central bank information shock.

货币政策信息冲击FOMC公告异方差识别央行信息效应