The Operational Data Analytics (ODA) for Service Speed Design
针对顾客到达率未知的服务系统，提出运营数据分析框架，利用历史到达数据优化服务率，在小样本下优于传统估计后优化方法。
We develop the operational data analytics (ODA) framework for the classical service design problem of [Formula: see text] systems. The customer arrival rate is unknown. Instead, some historical data of interarrival times are collected. The data-integration model, specifying the mapping from the arrival data to the service rate, is formulated based on the time-scaling property of the stochastic service process. Validating the data-integration model against the long-run average service reward leads to a uniformly optimal service rate for any given sample size. We further derive the ODA-predicted reward function based on the data-integration model, which gives a consistent estimate of the underlying reward function. Our numerical experiments show that the ODA framework can lead to an efficient design of service rate and service capacity, which is insensitive to model specification. The ODA solution exhibits superior performance compared with the conventional estimation-and-then-optimization solutions in the small sample regime. This paper was accepted by David Simchi-Levi, operations management. Funding: Z. Jiang’s research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 71931007]. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.00655 .