全球休闲户外活动偏好温度的变化

Global variation in the preferred temperature for recreational outdoor activity

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management · 2024
被引 3
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究利用77个国家2500多个地点的手机数据,发现生活在较暖地区的人户外活动偏好温度更高,年均温每升高1°C,偏好温度约升高0.5°C,为部分适应提供证据。

Abstract

The impacts of climate change will depend on how human societies adapt to higher temperatures. In this study we report empirical evidence suggesting that people living in warmer places prefer a higher temperature for their recreational outdoor activities. To arrive at this conclusion we examine a novel global dataset of mobile phone usage in parks in more than 2500 locations across 77 countries. We examine this dataset with econometric methods to identify the relationship between outdoor recreation and temperature from daily variation in weather. Overall we find that for every increase in annual mean temperature by 1 degree Celsius, the preferred daily mean temperature for outdoor activity increases by about 0.5 degrees Celsius. We explain how these results can be interpreted as evidence for partial adaptation. We also illustrate how ignoring adaptation can bias projections of future responses to climate change.

户外活动偏好温度气候适应手机定位数据全球差异