Violent conflict and expectation about the economy's performance: Evidence from Nigeria
研究利用森林覆盖率作为工具变量，发现暴力冲突使尼日利亚人对未来经济表现更悲观，可能因冲突扰乱社会经济活动并造成心理困扰。
This study examines how exposure to violent conflict influences individuals’ expectations about Nigeria's future economic performance. It employs forest cover as an instrumental variable to identify the causal effect of violent conflict on expected economic performance. The regression results reveal that violent conflict makes people pessimistic about the economy's future performance. This might be because conflict disrupts socioeconomic activities and causes psychological distress, making people less hopeful about the future.