Generating Hidden Markov Models from Process Models Through Nonnegative Tensor Factorization
提出一种数学方法,利用领域专家知识构建的理论过程模型,通过非负张量分解生成隐马尔可夫模型,以解决工业过程监控中数据稀缺问题。
Monitoring of industrial processes is a critical capability in industry and in government to ensure reliability of production cycles, quick emergency response, and national security. Process monitoring allows users to gauge the progress of an organization in an industrial process or predict the degradation or aging of machine parts in processes taking place at a remote location. Similar to many data science applications, we usually only have access to limited raw data, such as satellite imagery, short video clips, event logs, and signatures captured by a small set of sensors. To combat data scarcity, we leverage the knowledge of Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) who are familiar with the actions of interest. SMEs provide expert knowledge of the essential activities required for task completion and the resources necessary to carry out each of these activities. Various process mining techniques have been developed for this type of analysis; typically such approaches combine theoretical process models built based on domain expert insights with ad-hoc integration of available pieces of raw data. Here, we introduce a novel mathematically sound method that integrates theoretical process models (as proposed by SMEs) with interrelated minimal Hidden Markov Models (HMM), built via nonnegative tensor factorization. Our method consolidates: (a) theoretical process models, (b) HMMs, (c) coupled nonnegative matrix-tensor factorizations, and (d) custom model selection. To demonstrate our methodology and its abilities, we apply it on simple synthetic and real-world process models.