International regime uncertainty
提出‘国际体制不确定性’概念，指对国际事务中基本原则、规则和决策程序未来走向的疑虑，并分析其如何通过增加结构性政策不确定性和谈判失败概率来影响跨国经济政治活动。
Abstract: Questions about the future of US supremacy, the global spread of liberal democracy, and liberal international economic institutions create what we call ‘international regime uncertainty’: doubts about the fundamental principles, rules, norms, and decision-making procedures that govern areas of international affairs. This includes both probabilistic assessments of the risk that prevailing principles and institutions cease to function but also fundamental uncertainty over what alternative institutional arrangements and governing principles may emerge. Irrespective of actual systemic change, international regime uncertainty can affect transnational economic and political activities by increasing structural policy uncertainty and the probability of bargaining failures. The political uproar over energy transition policies that seemingly violate core principles of the international trade regime illustrates these points.