故事、统计与记忆

Stories, Statistics, and Memory

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2024
被引 46
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,相比统计数据,故事对信念的影响更持久:一天后统计的影响消退73%,而故事仅消退32%,这种差异源于记忆中的相似性关系。

Abstract

Abstract For many decisions, we encounter relevant information over the course of days, months, or years. We consume such information in various forms, including stories (qualitative content about individual instances) and statistics (quantitative data about collections of observations). This article proposes that information type—story versus statistic—shapes selective memory. In controlled experiments, we document a pronounced story-statistic gap in memory: the average impact of statistics on beliefs fades by 73% over the course of a day, but the impact of a story fades by only 32%. Guided by a model of selective memory, we disentangle different mechanisms and document that similarity relationships drive this gap. Recall of a story increases when its qualitative content is more similar to a memory prompt. Irrelevant information in memory that is similar to the prompt, on the other hand, competes for retrieval with relevant information, impeding successful recall.

信息类型选择性记忆故事-统计差距记忆提取