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投资组合选择再探讨,或如何利用投资组合效率悖论提升投资组合表现

Portfolio Selection Redux, or, How the Paradox of Portfolio Efficiency Can Be Used to Improve Portfolio Performance

The Journal of Portfolio Management · 2024
被引 1
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

指出投资组合效率问题出在实施而非理念,通过分析风险结构识别低效持仓,在再平衡中提升效率,对有选股能力的主动管理者可改善业绩。

Abstract

Portfolio performance is determined by both stock selection and portfolio construction. Mean–variance portfolio construction as formulated by Markowitz showed many years ago that efficient portfolios most accurately reflect expected returns in portfolio performance, whereas inefficient portfolios always incur unnecessary risk and leave potential outperformance on the table, thereby wasting some of the portfolio manager’s skill. Standard portfolio optimization, however, is widely regarded as problematic, so many managers adopt heuristic portfolio construction methods instead. This article argues that the underlying problem is not with the <italic>idea</italic> of portfolio efficiency, but with its <italic>implementation</italic>. A simple analysis of the risk structure of a portfolio can identify which holdings are most inefficient and which are “efficient enough” given the limitations of any manager’s forecasting ability. This information can then be used in rebalancing to ensure the greatest increase in overall portfolio efficiency for the least amount of turnover while considering the inherent uncertainty in all forecasts. For active managers with stock selection skill, more efficient portfolios mean better performance.

投资组合理论现代投资组合理论投资组合优化金融经济学